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EMERGING MARKETS-LatAm assets rally on risk appetite
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15 Jul 2009 15:32
* LatAm stocks follows U.S. rally on strong earnings
* Improved U.S. data revives optimism, risk appetite
* Currencies up on U.S. dollar weakness
* Colombia's Ecopetrol to price 10-yr bond at UST+425 bps
By Manuela Badawy
NEW YORK, July 15 (Reuters) - Latin American stocks rallied
to a two-week high, currencies rose, and bond spreads narrowed
on Wednesday on positive U.S. corporate earnings and signs U.S.
industrial production may be improving.
The improving outlook for the U.S. economy, supported by a
better-than-expected report on business conditions in New York
state, and a year-high reading on a U.S. factory survey, pushed
investors to buy up risky assets like emerging stocks bonds and
currencies.
The MSCI stock index for Latin America <.MILA00000PUS>
surged 6.0 percent to a two-week high, outperforming gains of
3.1 percent in the Dow Jones Industrial Average <.DJI>.
U.S. stocks rallied after Intel Corp's <INTC.O> solid
results and upbeat outlook reinforced hopes for a rebound in
technology spending.
The Brazilian benchmark Bovespa index <.BVSP> jumped 5.25
percent to a one-week high as investors revived a bid for risk
after upbeat U.S. data.
"The Brazilian markets tend to follow the markets abroad,"
said Marianna Costa, an economist with Link Investimentos in
Brazil. Good news in the United States often translates to
higher investor confidence in emerging economies as well.
Mexico's IPC stock index <.MXX> sharply rose 3.33 percent,
while Argentina's MerVal index <.MERV> surged 4.83 percent.
Chile' The blue-chip IPSA index <.IPSA> rose 1.31 percent
on the day and is up 34 percent so far this year, helped by a
16 percent jump in May, its biggest gain in a single month
since January 1994. Chile's all-market IGPA index <.IGPA> rose
1.16 percent.
Most Latin American currencies also experienced a sharp
appreciation amid an overall decline in the U.S. dollar against
a basket of major currencies to the lowest level in a month.
Brazil's currency, the real <BRBY>, rose 1.81 percent to
1.935 reais to the dollar after its central bank offered to buy
dollars to soak up an inflow of greenbacks into the country.
Chile's peso <CLP=CL> ended 1.96 percent firmer at
536.70/537.20 per dollar.
The Mexican peso <MXN=> surged 2.25 percent to 13.533 per
dollar snapping a six-session losing streak.
The U.S. downturn has driven Mexico into a deep recession
and hopes for a local recovery depend on a rebound in demand in
the United States, the destination for around 80 percent of
Mexican exports.
Mexico's central bank will likely lower interest rates by a
quarter percentage point on Friday to support the ailing
economy, but could also signal it is done loosening monetary
policy. The cut would bring Mexico's benchmark overnight rate
to 4.50 percent <MXCBIR=ECI>, its lowest since 2003.
Meanwhile, yield spreads between emerging-market sovereign
bonds and U.S. Treasuries, a key gauge of risk aversion,
tightened 15 basis points to 416 basis points according to the
JPMorgan EMBI+ index <11EMJ>.
Colombia's state-controlled oil company Ecopetrol issued a
10-year $1.5-billion bond <ECO.CN><EC.N> with a price guidance
of around 400-425 basis points over U.S. Treasuries. Proceeds
of the deal will be used to fund Ecopetrol's investment plans.
(Additional reporting by Luciana Lopez in Sao Paulo)
Latin American market prices from Reuters
Stock indexes Latest % change
----------------------------------------------------------
MSCI LatAm <.MILA00000PUS> 2,987.21 5.9
Brazil Bovespa <.BVSP> 51,355.97 5.08
Mexico IPC <.MXX> 25,145.80 3.31
Chile IPSA <.IPSA> 3,200.17 1.43
Chile IGPA <.IGPA> 15,183.01 1.26
Argentina MerVal <.MERV> 1,609.88 4.85
Colombia IGBC <.IGBC> 9,747.12 0.56
Peru IGRA <.IGRA> 13,108.70 1.91
Venezuela IBC <.IBC> 45,418.17 0.81
Currencies Latest Local forex
% change
-----------------------------------------------------------
Brazil real <BRBY> 1.9350 1.81
Mexico peso <MXN=> 13.5395 2.18
Argentina peso* <ARSB=> 3.8600 -0.45
Chile peso <CLP=CL> 537.2000 1.95
Colombia peso <COP=STFX> 2,019.0000 1.34
Peru sol <PEN=PE> 3.0130 0.37
* Argentine peso's rate between brokerages
Global sovereign bonds Bid price Bid change
----------------------------------------------------------
Brazil 2040 <BRAGLB40=RR> 130.625 -0.063
Mexico 2017 <MEXGLB17=RR> 101.188 -0.187
Argentina Disc <ARGGLB33=RR> 51.625 0.750
Venezuela 2027 <VENGLB27=RR> 65.125 -0.375
Ecuador 2015 <ECUGLB15=RR> 72.000 -2.125
Sovereign CDS-5 years Latest % pt change
----------------------------------------------------------
Brazil <BRGV5YUSAC=MG> 169.000 -6.778
Mexico <MXGV5YUSAC=MG> 218.160 -7.949
Argentina <ARGV5YUSAC=MG> 0.000 0.000
Venezuela <VEGV5YUSAC=MG> 1,517.500 12.798
Keywords: MARKETS EMERGING/
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